I-Dao Fu Global: Igolide isenomfutho owaneleyo wokufikelela kwimbali ephezulu ngo-2024

Ingcali yezentengiso yathi umqondiso ovela kwiFederal Reserve ukuba inzala iya kuthotywa ngo-2024 idale umfutho osempilweni wentengiso yegolide, nto leyo eya kukhokelela kumaxabiso egolide afikelele kumazinga aphezulu embali kunyaka omtsha.

UGeorge Milling Stanley, oyiNtloko yeGold Strategist kwi-Dow Jones Global Investment Consulting, uthe nangona ixabiso legolide lisanda kunyuka, kusekho indawo eninzi yokukhula kweemarike.

Uthe, "Xa igolide ifumana amandla, akukho mntu uyaziyo ukuba iya kunyuka kangakanani, kwaye kunyaka ozayo sinokubona ukuphakama kwembali."

Nangona uMilling Stanley enethemba ngegolide, wongezelela ukuba akalindelanga ukuba amaxabiso egolide agqobhoze kwixesha elifutshane. Wabonisa ukuba nangona i-Federal Reserve inethemba lokunciphisa inzala kunyaka ozayo, umbuzo uhlala nini ukutsala i-trigger. Wongezelela ukuba kwixesha elifutshane, imiba yexesha kufuneka igcine amaxabiso egolide phakathi koluhlu lwangoku.

Kuqikelelo olusemthethweni lukaDow Jones, iqela likaMilling Stanley likholelwa ukuba kukho ithuba le-50% lokurhweba ngegolide phakathi kwe-1950 yeedola kunye ne-2200 yeedola ngonyaka ozayo. Kwangaxeshanye, inkampani ikholelwa ukuba amathuba okurhweba ngegolide phakathi kwe-2200 yeedola kunye ne-2400 yeedola nge-ounce yi-30%. UDao Fu ukholelwa ukuba kunokwenzeka ukurhweba ngegolide phakathi kwe-$ 1800 kunye ne-$ 1950 nge-ounce enye kuphela i-20%.

UMlling Stanley uthe impilo yezoqoqosho iya kugqiba ukuba liphezulu kangakanani ixabiso legolide.

Wathi, "Imvakalelo yam kukuba siya kuhamba kwixesha lokukhula ngaphantsi kwe-trend, mhlawumbi ukudodobala koqoqosho. Kodwa kunye nayo, ngokweemitha ezikhethiweyo ze-Fed, kusenokubakho ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okunamathelayo. Oku kuya kuba yindawo efanelekileyo yegolide. " "Ukuba kukho ukudodobala okukhulu kwezoqoqosho, ke izizathu zethu zokunyuka ziya kusebenza."

Nangona kulindeleke ukuba amandla aphezulu egolide anokutsala abatyali-mali abatsha, uMilling Stanley uthe inkxaso yexesha elide yegolide ibonisa ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso egolide kuya kuqhubeka ngo-2024.

Uthe iingxabano ezimbini eziqhubekayo ziya kugcina indawo ekhuselekileyo yokuthenga igolide. Wongeze ukuba unyaka wonyulo ongaqinisekanga kwaye "ombi" nawo uya kwandisa indawo ekhuselekileyo yegolide. Ukwathe imfuno ekhulayo evela eIndiya nakwezinye iimarike ezivelayo ziya kubonelela ngenkxaso yegolide ebonakalayo.

Ukuthengwa okuthe vetshe kwegolide ziibhanki ezingoovimba zamazwe ahlukeneyo kuya kwandisa imodeli entsha yokutshintsha kwimarike.

Wathi, "Kunengqiqo ukuthatha inzuzo xa ixabiso legolide lidlula i-$ 2000 nge-ounce kwiminyaka emihlanu edlulileyo, kwaye ndicinga ukuba inxalenye yesizathu sokuba amaxabiso egolide ngamanye amaxesha ahle phantsi kweedola ze-2000 ngonyaka ozayo. Kodwa ngexesha elithile, ndisakholelwa ukuba ixabiso legolide liya kuma liqinile ngaphezu kwe-$ 2000." "Kwiminyaka eyi-14, ibhanki ephakathi iye yathenga ngokuqhubekayo i-10% ukuya kwi-20% yeemfuno zonyaka. Nanini na kukho iimpawu zobuthathaka kumaxabiso egolide, oku kuyinkxaso enkulu, kwaye ndilindele ukuba lo mkhwa uqhubeke iminyaka emininzi."

UMilling Stanley uthe ulindele ukuba nakuphi na ukuthengiswa okubalulekileyo kwegolide kuthengwe ngokukhawuleza xa kujongwa ukungaqiniseki koqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye nezidubedube zezopolitiko.

Wathi, "Ukusuka kumbono wembali, ukuzinikela kwegolide kubatyalo-mali kuye kwahlala kunento emibini. Ngokuhamba kwexesha, kungekhona minyaka yonke, kodwa ngokuhamba kwexesha, igolide inokunceda ukunyusa imbuyekezo yepotfoliyo yotyalo-mali ngokufanelekileyo. Ngaliphi na ixesha, igolide iya kunciphisa umngcipheko kunye nokuguquguquka kwipotfoliyo yotyalo-mali elinganayo ngokufanelekileyo. " "Ndilindele oku kuzibophelela kubini kwembuyekezo kunye nokukhusela ukutsala abatyali mali abatsha ngo-2024."