I-Dao Fu Global: Igolide lisenomfutho owanele wokufinyelela izinga eliphezulu lomlando ngo-2024

Usomaqhinga wemakethe uthe isignali evela ku-Federal Reserve yokuthi amanani enzalo azokwehliswa ngo-2024 idale umfutho onempilo emakethe yegolide, okuzoholela ekutheni amanani egolide afinyelele eqophelweni eliphezulu onyakeni omusha.

UGeorge Milling Stanley, oyiChief Gold Strategist kwaDow Jones Global Investment Consulting, uthe nakuba amanani egolide esanda kuphakama, sisesikhulu isikhala sokukhula kwemakethe.

Uthe, “Uma igolide lithola umfutho, akekho owaziyo ukuthi lizonyuka kangakanani, futhi ngonyaka ozayo kungenzeka sibone irekhodi eliphezulu.

Nakuba uMilling Stanley enethemba ngegolide, wengeze ngokuthi akalindele ukuthi amanani egolide agqashuke esikhathini esifushane. Uveze ukuthi nakuba iFederal Reserve inethemba lokwehlisa inzalo ngonyaka ozayo, umbuzo usamile ukuthi uzoyikhipha nini inhlamvu. Wengeze ngokuthi esikhathini esifushane, izindaba zesikhathi kufanele zigcine amanani egolide ebangeni lamanje.

Esibikezelweni esisemthethweni sika-Dow Jones, ithimba lika-Milling Stanley likholelwa ukuthi kukhona amathuba angu-50% okuhweba ngegolide phakathi kuka-$1950 no-$2200 iwunsi ngayinye ngonyaka ozayo. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, inkampani ikholelwa ukuthi amathuba okuhweba ngegolide phakathi kuka-$2200 no-$2400 nge-ounce ngayinye angama-30%. UDao Fu ukholelwa ukuthi ithuba lokuhweba ngegolide phakathi kuka-$1800 no-$1950 iwunsi ngayinye kungamaphesenti angama-20 kuphela.

UMilling Stanley uthe impilo yomnotho izonquma ukuthi intengo yegolide izokhuphuka kangakanani.

Uthe, "Umuzwa wami ukuthi sizodlula enkathini yokukhula ngaphansi kwethrendi, okungenzeka kube ukuwohloka komnotho. Kodwa kanye nakho, ngokusho kwamamethrikhi akhethwa yi-Fed, kungase kube khona ukwehla kwamandla emali okunamathelayo. Lokhu kuzoba indawo enhle yegolide." "Uma kuba nokuwohloka okukhulu komnotho, kuzobe sekungena izizathu zethu zokukhula."

Yize kulindeleke ukuthi amandla akhuphukayo egolide azoheha abatshalizimali abasha, uMilling Stanley uthe ukwesekwa kwegolide kwesikhathi eside kukhombisa ukuthi ukunyuka kwamanani egolide kuzoqhubeka ngo-2024.

Uthe lezi zingxabano ezimbili eziqhubekayo zizogcina indawo ephephile yokuthenga igolide. Ubuye wengeza ngokuthi unyaka wokhetho ongaqinisekile futhi “omubi” nawo uzokwandisa ukukhanga okuphephile kwegolide. Uphinde wathi isidingo esikhulayo esivela eNdiya nakwezinye izimakethe ezisafufusa sizohlinzeka ngokusekelwa kwegolide elibonakalayo.

Ukuthengwa okwengeziwe kwegolide ngamabhange amakhulu amazwe ahlukahlukene kuzokwengeza ukushintshwa kwemodeli entsha ezimakethe.

Wathi, "Kunengqondo ukuthatha inzuzo lapho amanani egolide edlula i-$ 2000 nge-ounce eminyakeni emihlanu edlule, futhi ngicabanga ukuthi lokho ngokwengxenye kungani amanani egolide ngezinye izikhathi angase ehle ngaphansi kwama-$ 2000 ngonyaka ozayo. Kodwa ngesinye isikhathi, ngisakholelwa ukuthi amanani egolide azoma aqine ngaphezu kwe-$ 2000." "Iminyaka engu-14, ibhange eliphakathi liye lathenga ngokuqhubekayo i-10% kuya ku-20% yesidingo sonyaka. Noma nini lapho kunezimpawu zobuthakathaka emananini egolide, lokhu kuwukusekelwa okukhulu, futhi ngilindele ukuthi lo mkhuba uqhubeke iminyaka eminingi."

UMilling Stanley uthe ulindele ukuthi noma yikuphi ukudayiswa okubalulekile kwegolide kuthengwe ngokushesha uma kuqhathaniswa nokungaqiniseki kwezomnotho emhlabeni wonke kanye nezinxushunxushu zezwe.

Wathi, "Ngokombono womlando, ukuzibophezela kwegolide kubatshalizimali bekulokhu kunesimo esimbaxambili. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, hhayi njalo ngonyaka, kodwa ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, igolide lingasiza ekwandiseni imbuyiselo yephothifoliyo yokutshalwa kwezimali elinganiselwe ngokufanele. Nganoma yisiphi isikhathi, igolide lizonciphisa ingozi nokuguquguquka kuphothifoliyo yokutshalwa kwezimali elinganiselwe ngokufanele." "Ngilindele lokhu kuzibophezela okubili kokubuyisela nokuvikela ukuheha abatshalizimali abasha ngo-2024."