Mitengo ya golide yakwera kwambiri mu 2023! Kodi ndiyeneranso kugulitsa golide mu 2024?

Kwa osunga ndalama aku China, ngakhale msika wamasheya uli waulesi mu 2023, msika wa golide uli ngati kuwomberedwa m'manja - kuyambira koyambirira mpaka kumapeto kwa chaka, golide wapadziko lonse lapansi wakwera mobwerezabwereza ndipo wakhala ukukwera kwambiri $2000 pa ounce.

Mu 2023, golide adachita bwino kwambiri ndipo adadziwika bwino ndi chiwongola dzanja chokwera, zinthu zotsogola, ma bond, komanso misika yambiri. Kodi nchifukwa ninji mtengo wa golidi padziko lonse ungakhalebe wolimba chonchi m’malo amsika pamene kusatsimikizirika sikunatsikebe?

Malinga ndi kafukufuku wochokera ku World Gold Council, kufunikira kwa golide padziko lonse lapansi kudakhalabe kokhazikika m'magawo atatu oyamba a 2023 ndipo kudapitilira mulingo wapakati pazaka khumi zapitazi, makamaka chifukwa cha kugula kwa mabanki apakati komanso chitukuko chamakampani opanga zinthu. Makamaka, thandizo la golidi lochokera ku mabanki apakati padziko lonse lapansi likupitilira kuwonjezeka ndipo lafika pamlingo wapamwamba. Pakati pawo, China, India, Bolivia, ndi Singapore akhala mayiko akuluakulu akugula golide mu 2023.

Juan Carlos Artigas, Mtsogoleri Wofufuza Padziko Lonse wa World Gold Council, adanena kuti golidi, monga chuma chosungira, ali ndi makhalidwe otetezeka, amadzimadzi, osasunthika pang'ono, komanso phindu labwino. Itha kuthandiza omwe ali ndi ziwopsezo, kupititsa patsogolo magwiridwe antchito achuma, komanso kupatsa osunga ndalama phindu lokhazikika komanso labwino. "Ichinso ndi chifukwa chofunikira chomwe banki yayikulu yakhala ikugula golide kwazaka zopitilira khumi."

Zotsatira za kafukufuku wa 2023 wapadziko lonse wa banki yapakati pa golide zikuwonetsa kuti opitilira 70% amabanki apakati akuyembekeza kuti nkhokwe za golide padziko lonse lapansi zichuluke m'miyezi 12 ikubwerayi. Zinthu monga chiwongola dzanja, kuchuluka kwa inflation, ngozi zapadziko lonse lapansi, kuchulukirachulukira kwadongosolo la ndalama zapadziko lonse lapansi, ndi ESG ndizomwe zimapangitsa kuti mabanki apakati apitilize kugula golide mtsogolo.

"Mchitidwe wa dollarization mu 2023 ndiwodziwikiratu, ndipo izi zipitilira mpaka 2024." Chen Wenling, katswiri wazachuma wa China Center for International Economic Exchanges ndi wachiwiri kwa director of Executive Board, akukhulupirira kuti m'zaka zaposachedwa, ndi kuchuluka kwa vuto la ngongole zaku US komanso kuwopsa kwachuma, mayiko ambiri ayamba kukayikira ngongole ya dollar yaku US.

Pofika Disembala 2023, ndalama zonse za bondi ya US Treasury Bond zidzafika US $300 miliyoni, zomwe zidzatenga 11% ya ngongole zonse zapadziko lonse lapansi ndi 150% ya ngongole yonse yapakhomo. Pafupifupi 18% ya ndalama zake zidzagwiritsidwa ntchito kulipira chiwongola dzanja. Kuphatikiza apo, ngongole zapanyumba zaku US zafika $17.06 thililiyoni. Chen Wenling adanena kuti poyang'aniridwa ndi zoopsa zosiyanasiyana, "de dollarization" yakhala njira yaikulu m'kupita kwanthawi.

Kuchokera pamalingaliro othandiza, pakali pano, mabanki apakati padziko lonse lapansi akuwonjezera mwakachetechete golide wawo ndikusinthira ndalama zawo zosungirako, kukhala akatswiri a de dollarization. Malinga ndi kafukufuku yemwe bungwe la World Gold Council linachita, mabanki ambiri apakati amakhulupirira kuti chuma cha US dollar chidzachepa ndipo chuma cha China yuan chikuyembekezeka kuwirikiza kawiri potengera zomwe zidzagawidwe mtsogolo. Kuphatikiza apo, chifukwa chakuchita bwino m'malo omwe ali pachiwopsezo chachikulu komanso kutha kusiyanitsa zoopsa zazandale, mayiko ambiri omwe akutukuka kumene amawona golide ngati chida chosungirako mtengo kwanthawi yayitali komanso ndalama zosiyanasiyana. "M'tsogolomu, misika yomwe ikubwera ndi yomwe ikupita patsogolo ingathe kuonjezera kwambiri chiwerengero cha golide m'malo osungiramo zinthu, pogwiritsa ntchito ngati njira yochepetsera ndi kuteteza." Ankai adati m'kupita kwanthawi, mabanki apakati padziko lonse lapansi ndi mabungwe aboma akufuna kugula golide wachulukitsa kawiri, zomwe zabweretsa phindu lalikulu pamsika wagolide.

Kuphatikiza pa kukhala gawo lofunika kwambiri la banki yayikulu yosungiramo ndalama zakunja, golidi alinso ndi zinthu ziwiri monga chida chogulitsira, zinthu zapamwamba, komanso kupanga zodzikongoletsera.

Bungwe la World Gold Council likulosera kuti mchitidwe wa mabanki apakati akupitirizabe kugula golide ukhoza kupitirira kwa zaka zambiri kapena makumi angapo, ndipo akuyembekezeka kuthandizira kwambiri ntchito ya golide.

Source: Shangguan News