Izintengo zegolide zikhuphuke ngo-2023! Ngabe kusafanele ukutshala imali egolideni ngo-2024?

Kubatshalizimali baseShayina, yize imakethe yamasheya incipha ngo-2023, imakethe yegolide ifana nomzamo - kusukela ekuqaleni kuze kube sekupheleni konyaka, intengo yegolide yomhlaba wonke ikhuphuke ngokuphindaphindiwe futhi ibilokhu ikhuphuka ngo-$2000 nge-ounce.

Ngo-2023, igolide lenze kahle kakhulu futhi lavelela endaweni enenzalo ephezulu, izimpahla ezisebenza kahle kakhulu, amabhondi, kanye nezimakethe eziningi zamasheya. Kungani intengo yegolide yomhlaba ingahlala iqinile kangaka endaweni yemakethe lapho ukungaqiniseki kunganciphi?

Ngokusho kwedatha evela kuMkhandlu Wegolide Lomhlaba, isidingo segolide somhlaba wonke sihlale sizinzile kumakota amathathu okuqala ka-2023 futhi sadlula izinga elimaphakathi leshumi leminyaka elidlule, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokuthengwa kwe-net ngamabhange amakhulu kanye nentuthuko yemboni yokukhiqiza. Ikakhulukazi, uxhaso lwegolide oluvela kumabhange amakhulu emhlabeni wonke luyaqhubeka nokukhula futhi lufinyelele ezingeni eliphezulu. Phakathi kwawo, iShayina, iNdiya, iBolivia, neSingapore kube amazwe amakhulu athenga igolide ngo-2023.

UJuan Carlos Artigas, uMqondisi Wocwaningo Lomhlaba Wonke we-World Gold Council, uthe igolide, njengempahla egciniwe, linezici zokuphepha, uketshezi, ukuguquguquka okuphansi, kanye nenzuzo enhle. Lingasiza abanini bamasheya ukuvikela izingozi, lithuthukise ngempumelelo ukusebenza kwamaphothifoliyo okutshalwa kwezimali, futhi linikeze abatshalizimali inzuzo ezinzile nephezulu. "Lesi futhi yisizathu esibalulekile sokuthi kungani ibhange eliphakathi lilokhu lithenga igolide iminyaka engaphezu kweshumi."

Imiphumela yocwaningo lwe-global central bank lwango-2023 ikhombisa ukuthi amabhange amakhulu angaphezu kuka-70% ahlolwe alindele ukuthi i-global gold reserve inyuke ezinyangeni ezingu-12 ezizayo. Izici ezifana namazinga enzalo, amazinga okwehla kwamandla emali, izingozi ze-geopolitical, ukuthambekela kwe-multipolar kohlelo lwemali ye-global reserve, kanye ne-ESG yizona zinto eziyinhloko ezenza amabhange amakhulu aqhubeke nokuthenga igolide esikhathini esizayo.

"Umkhuba wokunciphisa ukusetshenziswa kwemali ngo-2023 usobala, futhi lo mkhuba uzoqhubeka kuze kube ngu-2024." UChen Wenling, isazi sezomnotho esikhulu se-China Center for International Economic Exchanges kanye nephini lomqondisi weBhodi Eliphethe, ukholelwa ukuthi eminyakeni yamuva nje, ngokwanda kwenkinga yezikweletu zase-US kanye nezingozi zezimali, amazwe amaningi aqala ukungabaza isikweletu sedola laseMelika.

NgoDisemba 2023, inani eliphelele lebhondi ye-US treasury lizofinyelela ku-US $300 million, okubalwa u-11% wesikweletu somhlaba wonke kanye no-150% wesikweletu sasekhaya. Cishe u-18% wemali engenayo yezimali uzosetshenziselwa ukukhokha inzalo yesikweletu. Ngaphezu kwalokho, isikweletu somndeni sase-US sifinyelele ku-$17.06 trillion. UChen Wenling uthe ngaphansi kokubekwa kwezingozi ezahlukahlukene, "ukunciphisa i-dollarization" sekuyinto ebaluleke kakhulu esikhathini eside.

Ngokombono ongokoqobo, njengamanje, amabhange amakhulu emhlabeni wonke andisa buthule ukubamba kwawo igolide futhi ahlukanisa izimali zawo ezigciniwe, eba ngabasebenzi bokusebenzisa i-de dollarization. Ngokusho kocwaningo olwenziwe yi-World Gold Council, amabhange amaningi amakhulu akholelwa ukuthi izimpahla zedola laseMelika zizoncipha futhi izimpahla ze-yuan zaseShayina kulindeleke ukuthi ziphindwe kabili ngokwesabelo sesikhathi esizayo. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngenxa yokusebenza kahle kwazo ezindaweni ezinobungozi obukhulu kanye nekhono lokuhlukanisa izingozi zezwe, amazwe amaningi asafufusa abheka igolide njengethuluzi lokulondolozwa kwenani lesikhathi eside kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali okuhlukahlukene. "Esikhathini esizayo, izimakethe ezisafufusa nezithuthukayo cishe zizokwandisa kakhulu inani legolide ezigciniwe, zilisebenzisa njengendlela yokunciphisa nokuvikela." U-Ankai uthe ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, isidingo samabhange amakhulu omhlaba kanye nezikhungo ezisemthethweni sokuthenga igolide siphindwe kabili, okulethe izinzuzo ezibalulekile emakethe yegolide.

Ngaphezu kokuba yingxenye ebalulekile yezimali zangaphandle zebhange eliphakathi, igolide liphinde libe nezimfanelo ezimbili njengethuluzi lokutshala imali, izimpahla zokunethezeka, kanye nezinto zokwenza ubucwebe.

I-World Gold Council ibikezela ukuthi umkhuba wamabhange amakhulu aqhubeka nokuthenga igolide ungase uqhubeke iminyaka eminingi noma ngisho namashumi eminyaka, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi usekele ukusebenza kwegolide.

Umthombo: Shangguan News