US inflation zviratidzo zvakadonha zvakanyanya, mitengo yegoridhe yakakwira zvakanyanya

Chikonzero chikuru chekukwira kweGold ndechekuti Federal Reserve yakaratidza kuti inogona kudzikamisa kuwedzera kwemitengo mune ramangwana. Tichitarisa mberi, zvinotarisirwa kuti zvichatora nguva kuti goridhe ridzokere kumusika wekutanga wemombe, tichifunga kuti maitiro ekuwedzera mitengo yeFed ari kuenderera mberi asi hukuru hwacho huri kutanga kusangana. Mitengo yegoridhe inotarisirwa kuramba ichikwira yozodzikira zvakare. Beijing, Mbudzi 16 (Xinhua) -- Comex Gold yakakwira neanenge 6 muzana svondo rapfuura kusvika pa$1,774.20 paaunzi. Padivi remukati mezuva, goridhe t + D rakateverawo, richikwira ne4.21% kusvika pakuvhara pa407.26 yuan pagiramu. Ndakanga ndambofanotaura kuti mikana yekuti goridhe ridzike pasi pe$1,600/oz pakupera kwegore yaive mishoma, uye kuti goridhe raizotsvaga kudzikira zvishoma nezvishoma pamusoro pedanho iroro, uye kusvika pari zvino rave richienderana zvakanyanya. Chikonzero chikuru chekukwira kweGold ndechekuti Federal Reserve yakaratidza kuti inogona kudzikisa kuwedzera kwemitengo mune ramangwana. Kune rumwe rutivi, kudzikira kweCPI kwakasimba kupfuura zvaitarisirwa muna Gumiguru kwakasimbisa tarisiro yekuti fed yaizononotsa kukwira kwayo kwemitengo; uye, kune rumwe rutivi, mhedzisiro yesarudzo dzepakati pegore yakawedzera kusada njodzi. Tichitarisa mberi, zvinotarisirwa kuti zvichatora nguva kuti goridhe ridzokere kuhurongwa hwekutanga hwemusika wemombe, tichifunga kuti maitiro eFed ekuwedzera mitengo ari kuenderera mberi asi hukuru hwacho huri kutanga kusangana. Mitengo yegoridhe inotarisirwa kuramba ichikwira yozodzikira zvakare.

Consumer Bureau of Labor Statistics Yakakwira ne7.7% muna Gumiguru kubva pagore rapfuura, kubva patarisiro yemusika ye7.9% uye yakadzikira zvakanyanya kubva pa8.2%, chiyero chakaderera kubva muna Ndira, uye 0.4 muzana pamwedzi, zvakare zviri nani pane zvaitarisirwa nemusika ye0.6%, kukura zvichienderana ne0.4% yapfuura. Zvichideredza mitengo yechikafu nesimba, CPI huru yakakwira ne6.3% kubva pagore rapfuura, zviri nani pane zvaitarisirwa nemusika ye6.5% uye yakadzikira kubva pa6.6%, zvichienderana nekupatsanurwa. Kukwira kwemitengo kwakakwira ne0.3% mwedzi wega wega, zviri nani pane zvaitarisirwa ne0.5%, uye yakadzikira zvakanyanya kubva pa0.6% yapfuura. Zvose, kukura kweUS CPI kwadzikira kupfuura zvaitarisirwa, nekudonha kweCPI huru kunyanya kuderedza kukurumidza kwekuti Fed isimbise mutemo zvakanyanya, zvichipa Fed rusununguko rwakawanda. Musika wemari yemubereko weramangwana ikozvino wawedzera mukana wekuti 50 basis points ikwire muna Zvita kusvika pa85%, kubva pa57%, uye zvichienderana nezvakafanotaurwa kare. Nekuda kweizvozvo, mutengo wegoridhe unotarisirwa kuramba uri pakati pe $1650-$1800/oz kusvika pakupera kwegore.

Panguva imwe chete, sarudzo yepakati pegore yeUnited States yava pedyo nekugadziriswa uye kukwikwidzana kwebato kwasvika pamhedziso yakakosha. Kana maDemocrats akarasikirwa nekutonga kwedzimba mbiri dzeCongress, maitiro eMutungamiri wenyika achakanganiswa zvikuru. United States ichawana rutsigiro rushoma rwezvematongerwo enyika mukudzikira kwehupfumi, zvichiwedzera uye zvichiwedzera kuderera kwehupfumi, uye kukwira kwedhora kucharamba kusisina simba kusvika kwapera, goho reUS bond rinogona kuomerwa nekukwira zvakanyanya. Nekuda kweizvozvo, mune imwe mamiriro ezvinhu, hupfumi hweUS hunogona kutarisana nekuderera kwakanyanya, chido chengozi chicharamba chichiderera, uye goridhe, nehunhu hwayo hwekuchengetedza, huchawedzera kukwezva kumusika. Muchidimbu, kuchinja kwemutengo wegoridhe kwakasvika panguva yakatarwa mushure mesarudzo dzepakati pegore, asi maitiro aripo emitengo yegoridhe achiri kuonekwa sekudzoka kwete kudzokera shure, nekuda kwenguva refu yemaitiro akaomarara nekuda kwe inflation yakasimba. Ehe, nemapato maviri ari muUS Congress anenge ari echokwadi, mamiriro e "Tight money, loose fiscal" eramangwana haagone kudzokorora, saka kutenderera kukuru kwekuchengetedza bullish gold upcoming trend haachinje.